Propbetguy

I’m going to take a flier on Hicks after a dominant 9 K performance. He’s started to unleash his split-finger a lot more, including to righties (14 Ks on 30 PAs ending with the pitch, 47% whiff rate). PHI is tough to K, but they’ve struggled vs the split finger (bottom 10 in wRC per 100 pitches this and last season). Overall, he’s over in 4/6 starts, so it’s not like we’re playing an inflated number here.

Pending

Civale 5+ Ks + Quantrill not to record a win-130

1.3u

Civale coming off a tough start vs NYY, but he’s looked good overall: 3.90 ERA/3.09 xERA. Generating more strikeouts thanks to a new sweeper he’s started throwing to righties this season. He gets 6 righties today (5 of them K prone). 5+ Ks in 4/5 starts. I see this as a game where Quantrill is going to struggle to get through 5 IP, let alone putting the Rockies in position to win. The altitude should wreak havoc with this one, and I don’t trust a Rockies bullpen to hold the lead even if Cal somehow gets through 5 with the Rockies winning.

S.Gray o5.5 Ks-140

CWS

STL

1.4u

05/04 12:15 AM

Over in 3/3 full starts, 32 K in 23.1 IP this season, averaging a K every 10 pitches. White Sox have been better in terms of Ks, but still at 23% over the L14 days vs righties. Gray with a solid history vs this lineup.

D.Jones o9.5 Pts-115

LAC

DAL

1.15u

05/04 1:30 AM

He is 27/33 when playing 26+ mins (15/17 with Luka + Kyrie) and seems pretty locked into that role due to his defensive prowess against PG (L4 games; 32, 27, 33, 30 mins). Has been capitalizing in transition and off spot up opportunities from Luka/Kyrie.

N.Powell o12.5 Pts-105

LAC

DAL

1.05u

05/04 1:30 AM

Running this back. Almost everything that could have went wrong in Game 5 did: waited a few minutes for a whistle to check in during the 1Q, shot poorly (1-6 from three) and had his 4Q mins cut due to a blowout… and he still had 14. Westbrook continues to look terrible, and the Coffey minutes are almost pointless. The Clippers need more scoring, with Harden and PG way too inconsistent - Powell should see 30 mins tonight, and I have him at 15 pts.

Futures

Past Performance
Yesterday	3-1-0	75%	1.92u
Last 7 Days	19-25-0	43%	-8.87u
Last 30 Days	75-86-6	45%	-18.33u
All Time	2075-1871-36	52%	43.08u

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