NBA Props

#Tailing @PropBomb

Game 1 was almost a perfect game for him and had a lot of outlier that broke his way to get to 12 PRA. He directly correlates with Aaron Neshmith avg 6.7 mpg sharing court (lowest amongst starters), but Sheppard saw an extra 5 minutes of Q2 run because Neshmith picked up his fourth foul w/ 6:55 left. But with foul trouble now in control going into the 2nd half, Sheppard only saw 5 minutes and was essentially the bottom of the bench unit in upside. He converted on 100% of his assists and rebound chances and also hit 2+ 3PM (which to not happen is -280). Box score will show he played 18 minutes, but going forward I only see him playing a max of 14-15. Sheppard averages 4.2 PRA in the nine games this season playing with the current starting lineup healthy (w/o Mathurin) and only draining 1 3PM. He’s gone under this prop in 8 of the 9 games when playing 8-16 minutes. #PlayerProps

Need a rooting interest at the game. He can’t maintain!!!!!!

McConnell torched the Knicks in game 1 for 18 pts and 3 assists - he basically did what Haliburton should have. I’m not saying Haliburton will put out another dud, but I do expect to see more lineups with both guys on the floor to put pressure on the Knicks defensively. So I have a slightly higher minutes projection than this line would indicate (23 mins) - TJ is over in 10/L11 with 20+ mins.

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@JayMoneyIsMoney23

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@GDAWG5000

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This line is ridiculous.

would play to u9.5 at even money or better. staying light

Talked this through with @TurveyBets. It’s a double like

@JayMoneyIsMoney23

@TurveyBets

@TurveyBets

Bet365 is better +1500 - just popped

77% hit rate playing between 10-20 mins

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

#Tailing @JoeDellera

Bet365 11:44.

🎙️ Discussed on @CashThatPodcast Myles Turner has continued to look great in these matchups against the Knicks. The Knicks have been susceptible to the combination of size and shooting ability that he brings to the table. The Knicks seem comfortable just living with the results of Turner finding some success as long as they can stay home on both Haliburton and Siakam. Turner has been a bit streaky against the Knicks but in four games this season he has been solid with 28, 5, 23 and 23 points in those matchups. The one game he had 5 points he played just 24 minutes. In Game 1, the Knicks allowed Turner to slip by them on rolls and occasionally would get lost by the defense on the perimeter if Haliburton was able to drag multiple defenders into the action. The advantage with Turner is that he was able to punish the Knicks when they were in a drop but also as a roller when they played closer to the level. Turner’s ability to punish defensive lapses in a variety of different ways should help him in this contest and I expect him to exceed 17.5 points once again.

would play to -150

Coming off a 3 rebound, 1 assist performance, I’m surprised this opened at 7.5. He spent the majority of his time chasing Haliburton around the perimeter, which really hurt his rebounding chances (only 6). I don’t see defensive coverages changing (on Hali) - Hart, OG, Hartenstein/Achiuwa should clean up the boards for NYK. And Indy doesn’t really allow many assists - 4th fewest per game. When DDV drives, he shoots (6 FGA on 7 drives last game) - especially against the Pacers who really don’t help on drives. And when he does get kick outs, he also rarely makes the extra pass.